About this site

1 - The case for risk

• 1.1 - Fermi estimate of future training runs
  • # Budgets and total FLOP of future training runs
  • # Model size via scaling laws
  • # Upper bounds for brain-equivalent capabilities
  • # Training data requirements
• 1.2 - Applications of high-capability models

Coming next - Outline of a research program

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Last update: 12 November 2021
Daniel Dewey